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NATO backing Turkey 
in standoff with Syria

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But despite the flare-up in recent days, there appears little appetite in Turkey for a war with Syria, said Volker Perthes, the director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs.

Only a sudden change in the situation on the ground could draw Turkey into what has so far remained a domestic conflict, said Perthes.

“If the humanitarian situation becomes even worse, where you have more massacres, where at some point even the Russians wouldn’t block a U.N. Security Council resolution ... then who could do the job of protecting civilians? It would be Turkey in the first place,” he said.

Joshua Alvarez, managing editor of the Istanbul-based Kalem Journal, said it was very unlikely that Turkey would call on NATO and force a decision on a commitment unless hostilities with Syria sharply increase.

“Turkey will continue to seek as many reassurances as it can, but Turkey will not put its foot down and demand a commitment from NATO,” said Alvarez. “Turkey is aware of NATO’s extreme reluctance about repeating a ‘Libya-styled’ campaign in Syria, a much more complex and difficult scenario. Turkey wants no part of such a campaign, either. “

NATO established a no-fly zone to protect civilians during last year’s Libyan revolt against longtime dictator Moammar Gadhafi. Western diplomats said enforcing the zone required taking out Libya’s air defenses and attacking tanks and military vehicles that posed threats to civilians.

Ankara’s reluctance to go it alone in Syria was voiced Tuesday by Turkish Deputy Prime Minister Ali Babacan.

“Whichever step we take, it will be taken in consultation with our friends and our allies and in agreement with them,” he said. “This is not a Syrian-Turkish bilateral issue, it is a humanitarian issue and we think that at the same time it’s an issue that should be viewed as a regional security issue. The Arab League is involved, the Islamic Conference Organization is involved and NATO is a part of it.”

Syrian opposition activists estimate more than 32,000 people have been killed since March 2011 when the uprising against Assad’s regime began. Initially, regime opponents launched a wave of peaceful protests that were met by repeated attacks by security forces, and the conflict has gradually turned into bloody civil war that has motivated tens of thousands of civilians to flee Syria. The fighting has devastated entire neighborhoods in Syria’s main cities, including Aleppo in the north. Syria’s government has always blamed the uprising on what it calls foreign terrorists.

Copyright 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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