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Will 16 days of shutdown change anything?

Published: Monday, Oct. 21, 2013 12:37 a.m. CDT
Caption
(AP file photo)
President Barack Obama speaks in the White House State Dining Room on Thursday in Washington a day after lawmakers voted to end the 16-day partial federal government shutdown and avoid financial default.

WASHINGTON – Sixteen days in October could change everything, or not much at all. Will the partial government shutdown prove to be the turning point after three years of partisan skirmishing in Washington? Or was it just a halftime show to fire up the players?

A look at where things stand after the shutdown:

THE PLAYERS

• President Barack Obama won a round by refusing to back down. The public didn’t applaud his handling of the crisis, but scored congressional Republicans even lower. Obama’s overall approval rating held steady, and so did the nation’s divided opinion of his health care law.

• House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, conceded a loss for his party. But personally he came out OK. Boehner placated his boisterous tea party-backed members by letting them take a doomed stand against the health law, then got credit for finally allowing the shutdown to end on mostly Democratic votes.

• Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, made a name for himself by leading the tea party charge toward shutdown. About half of the respondents in a recent Associated Press-GfK poll knew enough about Cruz to form an opinion – impressive for a senator elected less than a year ago. The bad news for Cruz? Their opinion was negative by a 2-1 margin.

• Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is catching heat for helping reopen the government.

TEA PARTY

The tea party, billed as a movement of the people, is getting slammed in national polls. Democrats say its belligerent tactics have been discredited. Much of the Republican establishment agrees. Tea party lawmakers don’t care.

BIG VERSUS SMALL GOVERNMENT

Did Americans learn anything from the partial shutdown?

Obama says it showed just how many things, large and small, the government does to help people.

Conservatives saw the opposite lesson – that federal workers can disappear without being missed.

There’s some evidence for both ideas.

Lots of people were inconvenienced and some lives were seriously disrupted, but most Americans weren’t personally touched by the shutdown. Less than one-third said someone in their home was affected, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted Oct. 7-9.

That doesn’t mean they shrugged off the effects beyond their front door.

About two-thirds in that poll felt the shutdown was harming the economy. Consumer confidence dropped to its lowest level in more than a year, according to Gallup polling.

THE ECONOMY

Forget turkey dinners and sleigh bells in the snow. Washington’s new tradition is scaring holiday shoppers.

Last year politicians slowed sales by hanging the threat of a “fiscal cliff” over the holiday season, before working out a deal in the new year. This year, the government shutdown already has taken a toll. Economists and Standard & Poor’s estimate that it cost the economy $24 billion, or about $75 for every U.S. resident.

AMERICA’S IMAGE

Sure, it’s embarrassing. America’s image took a hit. Other countries are snickering.

Obama says the latest spectacle depressed the nation’s friends and heartened its enemies. But it shouldn’t have surprised them much. The world has witnessed three years of stalemates and standoffs between Democrats and Republicans since the GOP won control of the House in 2010.

In the long view, the U.S. reputation, and especially its appeal for investors, doesn’t dent easily. After all, where else can the world park its money? Treasury bonds have scant competition as the safest place to stash reserves.

HEALTH CARE LAW

Conservatives again failed to drive a stake through the heart of “Obamacare.”

Indeed, the health law may have been strengthened by their latest attack.

Despite computer problems that are keeping many would-be customers from signing up, overall impressions of the health care law have held steady in polls.

That doesn’t mean the law is popular. It remains controversial, with Americans just as likely to say it was a bad idea as a good one.

Boehner says when it comes to defeating “Obamacare,” Republicans won’t give up.

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AP Director of Polling Jennifer Agiesta contributed to this report.

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Follow Connie Cass on Twitter: https://twitter.com/ConnieCass

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